Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 12.517468 14.091392 15.874072 18.061305 20.698417 23.809142 27.807536
2025-05-04 10.147988 12.036274 14.345174 17.433401 21.547887 26.983448 34.968135
2025-05-11 9.154210 11.265640 13.993999 17.888266 23.502604 31.656113 45.156453
2025-05-18 8.222384 10.386516 13.296184 17.654238 24.330558 34.794732 53.990155
2025-05-25 7.511505 9.691314 12.718967 17.441047 25.065432 37.864022 63.739322
2025-06-01 6.978569 9.171348 12.305595 17.375290 25.968468 41.372545 75.725721
2025-06-08 6.434106 8.575853 11.705559 16.914702 26.095462 43.473166 85.680792
2025-06-15 6.074061 8.213125 11.410666 16.893853 26.967791 47.210003 101.457814
2025-06-22 5.601637 7.643487 10.740127 16.153463 26.374373 47.755897 109.170751
2025-06-29 5.169846 7.105444 10.074999 15.347305 25.526320 47.545900 114.683747
2025-07-06 4.841468 6.705049 9.599284 14.823772 25.156720 48.350241 124.045892
2025-07-13 4.957036 7.000253 10.275010 16.448686 29.474131 61.869587 191.370704
2025-07-20 4.833943 6.917161 10.328712 16.957986 31.608770 70.968108 257.111159
2025-07-27 4.541920 6.541805 9.852100 16.383276 31.164145 72.522616 287.628687
2025-08-03 4.430978 6.456042 9.872368 16.799819 33.173897 82.646507 394.821539
2025-08-10 4.236707 6.218273 9.601984 16.585556 33.570583 87.637264 481.405711
2025-08-17 4.061419 6.002147 9.354303 16.390280 33.982410 92.962027 594.015902
2025-08-24 3.918190 5.832414 9.178933 16.330033 34.751462 100.170669 769.962497
2025-08-31 3.739005 5.591228 8.854334 15.907806 34.433495 102.794800 903.939924
2025-09-07 3.623025 5.454089 8.716395 15.888684 35.279756 111.160340 1226.735602
2025-09-14 3.434877 5.181745 8.305124 15.209083 34.049011 109.204336 1306.555715
2025-09-21 3.250199 4.908828 7.880251 14.467897 32.537509 105.398356 1321.252461
2025-09-28 3.106478 4.703368 7.576168 13.985859 31.763096 105.133841 1464.154957